Case Studies in Perpetuation
Rough Notes Article – January 9, 2012
Agency Financial Management
By Tom Sukay and Paul Vredenburg
Examining an Agency Ownership Transition
Recently, Sukay & Associates has become very involved in perpetuation planning. Our firm rarely gets a call where someone says, “I want to sell my business.” The most common call is from an agency owner in his early 60s who needs some help valuing their business so they can internally perpetuate. We have found that owners believe that they have a clear idea of their goals. Our challenge is to ensure that their goals are achieved.
In this article we will analyze the goals and strategies of an agency whose principal owner wishes to sell to an outside firm. The situation that we discuss in this article is based on an actual agency’s circumstances. Names and locations have been changed. In subsequent articles we will take the same approach for two agencies whose owners wish to perpetuate internally.
In each article we will provide three perspectives. The first comes from the agency owner. The second is our perspective as an advisor. Sukay & Associates is engaged to help the selling owners achieve their goals. We are not hired to help them sell the agency or create an internal perpetuation plan. The owner decides the course of action once we have agreed on our goals. We are simply an asset that provides intellectual capital that allows them to achieve those goals. One challenge is to make sure that each client is aware of all of their options and the risks and benefits associated with each strategy, including the human element.
The third perspective is from an independent third party. Paul Vredenburg, Sr. V.P. of AssuredPartners, Inc. has agreed to provide this prospective. Paul has experience as an advisor and is now an active buyer of agencies through AssuredPartners. We thought that this would be interesting since many internal perpetuations are done at a lower valuation than an external perpetuation and the owner undertakes a significantly greater risk of funding in an internal perpetuation. We also wanted to get a Buyer’s perspective of the timing of a sale and attractiveness of each agency.
Case Study: Duncan and Associates
Background
Duncan and Associates has been a part of their community for over 100 years. They are located in an affluent suburb of a large city in the eastern United States. The agency is owned by three individuals and one owner effectively manages the agency. The managing owner, who is now 65 years of age, purchased the agency early in his career. The managing owner owns 45% of the company. The two other shareholders own 45% and 10% respectively. The two other shareholders are in their mid 50s. The shareholder with the lowest ownership percentage has committed to act in the best interest of the managing shareholder. As a result, the managing shareholder has the ability to act as the majority shareholder.
The agency has revenues of approximately $5 million. Duncan and Associates offers businesses and organizations a broad spectrum of insurance products and services. Their highly trained staff of insurance professionals has the expertise and ability to design programs of insurance that are tailored to meet the needs of their commercial clients. The owner feels a strong commitment to the people that have helped him achieve these goals, especially to his two other partners.
Duncan and Associates enjoys premier contractual agreements with the nation’s foremost insurance carriers. The companies they represent are financially sound and they can provide a wide range of coverages that are competitively priced. In addition, they have longstanding relationships with many national and international insurance wholesalers which gives the agency broad access to both domestic and foreign specialty markets.
Duncan and Associates Owner’s Perpetuation Perspective:
I believe in the independent agency model and in an ideal world I would have tried to perpetuate my business to the minority shareholders. They have helped me grow the business and they continue to service clients and provide meaningful value to the company. Many of the people that work here are like my family.
The other shareholders do not have the financial means to acquire my interest in the company. The agency is very profitable which translates into a high value for the agency. I also have some concerns about the other shareholders ability to manage the company as a team without my oversight. I would not be comfortable accepting a note from the minority shareholders for my interest in the agency and I don’t believe that they will be willing to give me any personal guarantees.
As a result, an external perpetuation seems to be my best alternative. My goal would be to continue an active role in the company for an extended period of time. I have no anticipated retirement date as I would prefer to maintain ongoing relationships with my key clients. My schedule and hours worked would diminish over a period of time. I don’t see myself spending the rest of my life playing golf, traveling with my wife and playing with the grandchildren. These activities will be a part of my life, but I want to continue my professional life as long as possible. I would expect the two other shareholders to have a more active role with the new owners and I would expect to keep most of the current employees that have helped me become successful.
My primary concern of a sale is timing. During the last several years, the economic climate has resulted in a few lost clients and a significant decline in revenues from the softening insurance market. Although no one can be certain when, or if the market is going to harden, I believe it makes sense to wait another three to four years before the agency is marketed for sale.
Sukay & Associates - Advisors Perpetuation Perspective:
The managing owner of Duncan and Associates has done an effective job of assessing their situation and we concur that an external perpetuation is their best alternative. The key issue is the timing of the transaction. Just as interest rates will eventually increase, the insurance market will harden. The questions become: When, and by how much?
We see no evidence that Duncan and Associates would benefit from an enhanced value if the owners waited another three or four years to sell. Although the market may harden, the possibility exists that it will remain soft or even become softer. By waiting, the owners run the risk that the market would continue to soften and the agency’s value will decrease.
Sellers sometimes fail to recognize that they will have access to the deal proceeds. These proceeds can be invested depending on their tolerance for risk. Even a conservative reinvestment of the proceeds would offset the increased value of the agency that would result from a moderate increase in insurance rates over a three-to four-year period. Let’s make the following assumptions:
Revenues 2011 $5.0 million
Premium Volume 2011 $50.0 million
Profit margin 30.0%
($1.5 million)
It is difficult to determine a valuation without understanding the specific characteristics of the agency, but we can assume a conservative valuation of 6.0 times the projected earnings of $1.5 million. Based on this multiple, the agency would have a value of $9.0 million.
What would happen to the valuation if the market hardened and premiums increased by 5.0%? In this scenario, premiums and revenues would increase to approximately $52.5 million and $250,000 respectively. The company would certainly incur some costs associated with the enhanced revenue, most likely in the form of producer compensation or marketing expenses. For our analysis, we have assumed that earnings would increase by 50% of the enhanced revenue or $125,000. Based on our 6.0 multiple, the valuation of the agency would increase by $750,000.
The question is simple: Should the agency wait for the market to harden or should they sell immediately? In our example we can assume that the owner’s proceeds would be approximately $7.2 million. The $7.2 million was obtained by reducing the gross deal proceeds of $9.0 million by 20.0% which should cover their capital gains tax, state income taxes and other transaction costs. The increased valuation of $750,000 would be reduced by these same costs and would net approximately $600,000. The question then becomes: Would you rather wait the four to five years for the market to harden or realize the $7.2 million and reinvest the proceeds? We have simplified this example. It all likelihood, the seller would only receive approximately 90% of the proceeds at closing whether they sold the agency immediately or at the end of five years.
The agency owner could reinvest the proceeds at 2% and realize the same after tax proceeds at the end of the five year period. Different investment strategies carry widely different risks, but we would contend that an owner could execute a very conservative investment strategy over the next five years and still exceed a yield of 2%.
The real problem with Duncan and Associates is the age of the owner. We don’t feel that it is in his best interest to wait any longer due to the impact of his age on his valuation. We have a saying at our company, “Uncertainty diminishes value.” By waiting any longer Duncan’s owner is increasing the uncertainty regarding the deal. Will the owner continue to have the same impact on the business as he has had in the past? Most likely he will not. Will the existing staff step up and assume his role? The reality is that nobody knows for sure. As a result, uncertainty is created and the value of the agency will be reduced.
Would we be able to find a buyer for Duncan and what would happen to the multiple if he waited another five years? Many likely buyers would pass on the deal. The others would decrease the multiple or structure the deal where the guaranteed payment would be significantly reduced.
We would recommend that the seller entertain proposals immediately and structure a deal where an Earn Out would capture some of the value of the hardening market. Although we don’t have the benefit of hindsight, we would have recommended the same strategy five years ago. We believe that it is not generally in the best interests of the owner to wait to market the agency after they have reached the age of 60.
AssuredPartners, Inc. – Third Party Potential Buyer’s Perspective
The biggest challenge of working with a seller is having him or her make the mental jump to accept an external sale. Duncan’s principal has made that decision and understands that there is a trade off from being an independent owner to becoming part of a larger organization. Once that decision has been made, the buyer and seller can focus on the areas that will allow both parties to achieve the highest return.
The first discussion for Duncan & Associates should be with the buyer to understand how the agency will be operated after closing. While the proceeds are important, the shareholders must get an understanding of the operating model of each particular buyer as well as the targeted goals for both profit and growth. Since a significant portion of the proceeds will be tied to achieving goals after close, a seller should ensure that they are connected with the buyer on all aspects of life after close. This would include financial, operational, quality control and information technology.
The second area for Duncan & Associates to address is the timeline for the majority principal with regards to his interest in continuing to manage the day-to-day operations. This timeline will give us as a buyer an idea of how to structure the Earn Out so that it matches up with the seller’s expectations. The second reason for the timeline is to prepare for a transition of management by identifying the person or persons within the organization that will operate the firm after the Earn Out. It is important for the seller to guide a buyer in understanding where the management talent lies in the organization. A strong bench will result in a buyer paying a premium for the firm.
Once a model has been created, both parties can focus on determining the correct value for the agency and work towards a financial transaction that makes economic sense. If you bypass the areas above, both parties will get consumed by the “price” and lose sight of the fact that the sale is for both parties to create an agency that will continue to serve their customers and carrier partners in a consistent manner.
Duncan and Associates is an attractive opportunity for buyers because of its size and market location. The age of the owner is a big concern. A potential buyer needs to understand how important the owner is to retaining the existing clients and the agency’s growth. In evaluating this or any proposed transaction, the buyer must acquire detailed knowledge of all aspects of the agency’s operation, both tangible and intangible.
The authors
Tom Sukay is President of Sukay & Associates, an advisory firm that represents insurance brokers.
Paul Vredenburg is a Senior Vice President of AssuredPartners, Inc. an insurance agency that was formed in March 2011.
Tom Sukay Paul Vredenburg
President Senior Vice President
Sukay & Associates Inc. AssuredPartners, Inc.
www.sukayassociates.com www.assuredptr.com